Quoi de neuf sur le Gaz .
La construction de North Steam ce gazoduc qui doit relier l’Europe à la Russie, en passant par la Baltique, prend du retard .Les tergiversations des pays nordiques, qui redoutent les conséquences environnementales de ce projet , ont déja fait perdre 2 milliards d’euros au consortium North Stream.
En attendant le feu vert de la Suède, la Russie avec la complicité de l’Italie , joue la carte de South Stream pour contrecarrer le troisième projet , Nabuco.
Poutine, Schroeder, Berlusconi, et l’ex ministre des affaires étrangères l’Allemand Joskha Fisher, jouent au poker menteur !
Le gaz en 2008:
Production mondiale 3065 milliards de mètres cubes , Consommation mondiale 3020 milliards de mètres cubes.
Réserves mondiales estimées à 185.000 milliards de mètres cubes.
Et les Français dans ce big deal , Le président de GDF Suez a été invité par Gazprom à participer à North Stream .
Total et GDF Suez sont les deux grands groupes Français présents sur la scène gazière.
Total se trouve sur tout les grands sites amont de la planète, GDF Suez est concentré sur l’Europe.
EDF pourrait prendre une participation de 10% dans South Stream , mais avec 3% du gaz commercialisé en Europe EDF n’est pas en position de force!
EDF détient 3Gm3 de réserve en mer du Nord, via sa filiale Italienne Edison.
La crise gazière permanente entre l’Ukraine et la Russie devrait inciter les acteurs de ce jeu à accélérer les constructions au sud.
Dernière question évoquée par Poutine, Vous pouvez construire trois ou quatre ou cinq gazoducs , la question reste entière , quel carburant metrez vous dedans, et ou le prendrez vous !
Selon les analystes, Il n’y aura pas de difficultés d’approvisionnement jusqu en 2014-2015, mais après , il faudra s’intéresser aux gaz non conventionnels , comme le « tight gas » contenu dans du grès, ou le « gaz de schiste » , l’ancètre géologique du gaz actuel .Enfin on peu aussi citer le gaz de houille qui provient de la transformation du charbon par un traitement de regazéification .
Central Asia has always played an important role in the geopolitical balanace of Eurasia.
Hitler, in World War II , during his campaign against Russia, sought to capture Baku and the Caucasian oil fields in a bid to refill his depleted fuel supplies , before attacking the middle East, from the west in Northe Africa and from the East in central Asia .
After the war, the Soviets retained Central Asia oil and gas fields, exploiting oil and gas in Tatarstan and Siberia.
To day , the ex-Soviets republics of Centra Asia , have sought to exploit their oil wealth, believing oil to be the fasted way to get tichs !
The oil deposits of the Caspian Sea may not be quantitatively comparable to the deposits of the Persian Gulf, but they are still considered of excelent quality and many look to them as a significant source of untapped energy for the 21st century .
Modern Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan sjare the majority of the region’s hydrocarbon wealth .
So to bring this gas to western Europe you have now three projects :
-North Stream ( expected for 2012) Sponsored by Gerhard Schroeder.
Lenght 1.200 km, capacity 55 billion cubing meters, cost 7.4 billions euros.
Partners: Gazprom 51%, BASF 20%, EON 20% , Gasunie 9%
-South Stream ( expected for 2013) Sponsored by Silvio Berlusconi .
Lenght 900 km, capacity 63 billion cubing meters , cost from 19 up to 24 billions euros.
Partners: Gazprom 50%, Eni 50%
-Nabucco ( expected for 2014) Sponsored by Joskha Fisher.
Lenght 3 300 km, capacity 31 billion cubing meters, cost 8 billions euros.
Partners : OMV , MOL, BOTAS, RWE, Transgas, BEH each of them 16.67 %
Une erreur, any mistake, please contact : bj@abusinesstabloid.com
French gas firms, are looking forward to take advantage of this pipeline war !
ENGLISH Afghanistan:
Since the end of Soviet Union, corporations often with government support have competed for the control of Central’s Asia hydrocarbon ressources, it is the new « Grat game » for the control of Eurasia .
The united states was slow to condemn the Taliban in the mid 1900s because the Talibans were not opposed at that time, to favor US oil company Unocal to build two pipelines across Afghanistan , things changed a lot !
So sooner or later a pipeline will be built through Afghanistan , but to may be export gas to China ?
ENGLISH Turkmenistan.
This week, major gas company exceutives and government energy ministers traveled to Ashgabat, a nice quite city, with Nice Hotels, President’s hotel +++ for the annual Turkmen International Oil and Gas Exhibition ( TIOGE) both a showcase of Turkmenistan’s hydrocarbon wealth and a chance to meet with the to Turkmen Officials
This year, there will be 400 delegates and 160 petroleum companies from 28 countries .
Since the death of the former president two major deals were completed , one with the Chinese National Petroleum Corporation and one with Germany company RWE, a partner of Nabuco .If you want to travel to Ashgabat, Lufthansa offer a convenient route through Baku.
FRENCH : Es ce que la surprise viendra des Gaz non conventionnels ?
Aux Etats Unis, l’exploitation gazière progresse depuis 2007 après 10 ans de déclin.
Les gaz non conventionnels ont représenté 50 % des gaz extraits aux USA en 2008.
Les réserves Américaines se trouvent au Colorado, en Louisiane, en Oklaoma, en Pennsylvanie, au Wyoming .
FRENCH : On S’interroge sur les réserves de gaz Turkmènes!
Essentiel pour le projet Nabucco, le gaz Turkmène fait l(objet de querelles entre experts.
Les autorités russes ont récemment déclarés dans un quotidien Russe, que les réserves sont sur estimées de deux à trois fois.
Les Russes remettent en cause l’audit réalisé par le Cabinet Londonien Gaffney Cline and Associates ( GCA)
L’ONG Allemande ETG qui a présenté les mêmes informations , n’exclut pas que GCA ai été abusé par les autorités Turkmènes!
Encore du poker menteur !
Turkmenistan:
This week , President Gurbanguly Berdymukhamedov is traveling to Italy to meet with Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi and executive of Italian companies at a business forum in Rome.
That is showing Turkmenistan’s ongoing willingness to remain engaged with Europe.
On the other hand, in lising his government’s priorities for energy projects, the President stressed the primacy of Turkmenistan’s pipelines to China and Iran, he mentionned that the other projects are still under consideration, placing Nabucco last, after the stalled Eurasian Prikaspiskii line and the risk-laden Trans-Afghan line.
Italian have a long infuence in Turkmenistan , mainly in Hotel indusry.
This week President Berdymukhamedov attended an unexpected meeting in Moscow with Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, who was in the middle of handling recent terrorist bombing of trains. Despite the informal meeting in which the leaders were photographed without ties to emphasize their camaraderie, no agreement appears to have been reached on the price at which Russia’s state company Gazprom will purchase Turkmen gas. Already in recent weeks the Russian gas monopoly has made it clear that it will buy about 25 percent of what it originally indicated last year. Ashgabat seems unperturbed, deep in plans to launch the Chinese pipeline this month and another line headed to Iran. Prospects for direct deliveries to Ukraine have also opened given the reduction in Russian purchases. A Ukrainian parliamentarian this week said that with Ukraine’s new energy agreement with the EU and the need for competition, and less capacity of Gazprom to buy at previous levels, an avenue was opened for Ukraine to buy gas directly from Turkmenistan — hopefully without Russian interference.
Chinese President Hu Jintao is scheduled to travel to Turkmenistan December 13-14 to inaugurate the Turkmenistan-China pipeline, a major regional project that has been brought to reality even as other ambitious plans like the Western-backed Nabucco pipeline or the Russian-backed Prikaspiiski pipeline remain unrealized. President Gurbanguly Berdymukhamedov will preside over the ceremony in Samandep in the Lebap region, accompanied by Kazakhstani President Nursultan Nazarbayev and Uzbek President Islam Karimov. The 1,700 -kilometer long pipeline runs from eastern Turkmenistan through Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan into northwestern China. Turkmenistan has agreed eventually to pump 40 billion cubic meters (bcm) of gas to China, but will begin with a more modest 13 bcm, with the rest to come from new explorations of deposits believed to be sufficient to provide for all of Turkmenistan’s customers.
The presidents of China, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, and Kazakhstan launched the massive Turkmen-China pipeline this week, the first time in more than a decade that a pipeline has been built to deliver gas outside the region, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty reported. With China’s soft loan of $4 billion for construction, the pipeline will begin pumping 10 billion cubic meters (bcm) of gas and ultimately is expected to export 30-40 bcm by 2012. Gas-rich Turkmenistan has hitherto seen most of its energy delivery handled by Russia, and much remains untapped. Yet in the last year, President Berdymukhamedov has made a series of bold moves to break away from dependence on Moscow-dominated energy corridors and to diversify his markets, first with China, then with Iran and the European Union, with prospects also for Afghanistan and others.
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad travelled to Turkmenistan this week to open up a new pipeline from Turkmenistan’s Dovlebat gas fields to Iran, enabling Ashgabat to more than double its gas exports to its neighbor this year to 20 billion cubic meters (bcm) of gas. Following the launch of the 1,800 kilometer Chinese pipeline last month, the 31-kilometer long pipeline to Iran was also a clear indication of Turkmenistan’s determination to expand its customer base, the Turkmen Ministry of Foreign Affairs said. A ministry statement described the pipeline opening as « the logical continuation of Turkmenistan’s consistent policy to diversify its natural gas pipelines. »
Turkmenistan finally resumed gas delivery to Russia as promised on January 10, after a nine month hiatus. The final agreement was brokered on December 22 at a meeting between Turkmen President Gurbanguly Berdymukhamedov and Russian President Medvedev, for Moscow to buy 30 billion cubic meters (bcm) of gas, apparently for a « European price » of about $250 per thousand cubic meters (tcm), Russian media reported. Michael Korchemkin, director of the East European Gas Analysis told the Russian business daily Kommersant that Turkmenistan lost one quarter of its GDP, between $7-10 billion, due to the loss of Russian business. The new deal was for significantly less than the original pledge of 50 bcm last year, and the price was not as « European » as what some Western countries pay Russia for gas, which is reportedly $400-500 per thousand cubic meters (tcm) (although Germany is rumored to get a significantly reduced price of $280-290 tcm).
January 22-28, 2010
President Gurbanguly Berdymukhamedov headed on a two-day visit to Minsk this week to meet Belarusian President Aleksandr Lukashenka and tour Belarus’ leading manufacturing plants. The two countries are described as having “complementary economies” because Belarus can sell tractors and other machinery and help Turkmenistan develop its potash fertilizer industry, where Belarus is a leader among the few countries in the field. Turkmenistan doesn’t treat Belarus’ erratic and autocratic leader as a pariah, much as it accepts Iran’s leader as a trading partner. More importantly, like Minsk, Ashgabat is willing to stand up to the Kremlin, despite obvious dependencies and a shared history. Belarus and Turkmenistan are ideal for each other, but the one thing President Lukashenka could use – gas – is not so easy to deliver, with Russia refusing to allow gas to transit its territory that is not part of its deals. Even so, informal sources cited by Russia’s independent Nezavisimaya Gazeta, say that the prospects were discussed for Belarus to someday buy gas directly from Turkmenistan.
January 29-February 4, 2010
President Gurbanguly Berdymukhamedov made a state visit to Paris February 1-2, but his trip was kept under wraps by the French government. The Turkmen leader arrived with great anticipation and 70 ministers and aides in tow, but Élysée Palace was more subdued. The secrecy surrounding the visit may have been intended to foil human rights groups and press eager to find out whether French President Nicolas Sarkozy would raise urgent human rights concerns with his Turkmen counterpart.
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President Gurbanguly Berdymukhamedov’s trip to France did not appear to result in any momentous agreements, but he was able to finalize a 2.48 billion euro project to upgrade Ashgabat’s electrical grid, through a joint project of the Turkmen Ministry of Energy and Industry, the Belgian firm ENEX, and the French company Schneider Electric, which will manage construction and provide equipment and materials, respectively. The Turkmen leader has kept cordial relations with EU countries, and specifically, France, Germany, Italy, Austria, and Belgium because all of these countries have significant investment projects in Turkmenistan, even if the warm relationship with the EU has not resulted in a clear commitment to the Western-backed Nabucco pipeline. (Germany’s energy giant RWE, a Nabucco consortium investor, did obtain exploration rights in Turkmenistan).
OMAN , Petroleum Development Oman (PDO) announced on last monday the discovery of three new oil fields, one with a major volume of oil.
The company also found a potentially large gas field.
Following an ambitious exploration programme in central Oman, PDO said the major oil discovery had been made at Al Ghubar South, close to the existing Al Ghubar and Qarn Alam fields.